Petroleum product prices in Pakistan are once again expected to increase from October 1, 2025, bringing more pressure on people who are already facing high living costs.
According to sources, both ex-refinery (the price after oil is refined) and ex-depot rates (the price at fuel stations) are likely to go up. The main reason is the recent rise in global crude oil prices, which directly affects Pakistan since the country imports most of its oil.
Expected Refinery Price Changes
The government’s estimates suggest that petrol’s ex-refinery price could rise by Rs. 1.97 per liter, moving from Rs. 160.93 to Rs. 162.90, which is about a 1.2% increase. High-Speed Diesel (HSD), which is widely used in trucks, buses, and agricultural machinery, is expected to go up by Rs. 2.48 per liter, increasing from Rs. 172.65 to Rs. 175.13, or a 1.4% hike.
Kerosene oil, which is still used in many rural households for cooking and lighting, will see a much bigger jump. Its price may rise by Rs. 4.66 per liter, from Rs. 151.62 to Rs. 156.27, marking a sharp 3.1% increase. Light Diesel Oil (LDO), which is used in small industries and for power generation, is also expected to rise by Rs. 1.76 per liter, from Rs. 141.63 to Rs. 143.39, or a 1.2% increase.
Impact on Consumer Prices
Since refinery-level prices affect the final selling rates at pumps, consumers will also see higher ex-depot prices. Petrol, which is the most widely used fuel for cars and motorcycles, could increase from Rs. 264.61 to Rs. 266.58 per liter, a rise of Rs. 1.97 or 0.7%. Diesel, a critical fuel for transport and agriculture, may rise from Rs. 272.77 to Rs. 275.25, a hike of Rs. 2.48 per liter or 0.9%.
Kerosene oil’s ex-depot price may rise even higher, from Rs. 179.96 to Rs. 184.61, which is a Rs. 4.65 jump or 2.6% increase. Meanwhile, Light Diesel Oil could go up from Rs. 163.42 to Rs. 165.18, showing a rise of Rs. 1.76 per liter, or 1.1%.
Effect on Daily Life
If these revised rates are approved, they will put more strain on ordinary citizens. Families, especially those belonging to low- and middle-income groups, will feel the most pressure. Rising petrol and diesel prices mean higher transport fares, increased costs of goods due to expensive logistics, and additional challenges for small businesses and industries.
This increase comes at a time when people are already struggling with record inflation, expensive electricity bills, and high food prices. For many households, the rising cost of fuel could mean cutting back on other essentials, making daily life even harder.
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